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Reclaiming Truth and Legacy

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Red Sea Round Table

When Power Acts in the Gaps: U.S. Military Operations and Strategic Timing

For two centuries, the United States has engaged in military actions that coincide with windows when public attention is divided — religious holidays, national celebrations, sporting peak seasons, or political inflection points. These are moments when markets thin, media cycles slow, and public scrutiny diffuses. Across history, observers have noted that states — not just the U.S. — make strategic decisions when the world is least looking. In the American case, the pattern is clearer when you look across the long list of operations and their timing.


Since its founding, the United States has been engaged in hundreds of military interventions and conflicts, encompassing declared wars, congressional authorizations, and unilateral operations. According to historical compilations, the U.S. has been part of hundreds of conflicts and interventions since the late 18th century alone — at least 469 acknowledged military interventions from 1798 to 2022.


Within that broad canvas, certain instances stand out because they were launched, intensified, or announced during times when domestic and international attention was otherwise focused:


In the early 1970s, as the Vietnam War dragged on with public protest and political exhaustion, the U.S. launched Operation Linebacker II, the massive aerial bombing campaign over North Vietnam just before Christmas 1972. Analysts at the time — and critics since — noted the stark timing, placing heavy strikes during a period when news cycles and political focus were weakened by the holiday. Similar strategic compression can be seen in Operation Just Cause in Panama, initiated on December 20, 1989, in the waning days before Christmas; the U.S. invaded, bombarded, and captured Panamanian leader Manuel Noriega in an operation whose timing straddled American holiday distractions and congressional recess.


Again, in December 1998, the Clinton administration launched Operation Desert Fox, a multi-day bombing campaign against Iraq. Its peak days — December 16 through 19 — fell squarely into the holiday season just before Christmas and just as Congress was consumed with impeachment proceedings, diverting legislative scrutiny.


These are not isolated Arctic patterns on a timeline, but repeated peaks in activity during windows when the political spotlight dims. The classic case of Operation Neptune Spear — the raid that resulted in the killing of Osama bin Laden in May 2011 — was not hidden but was announced at a time selected almost explicitly for narrative control: a Sunday evening, during peak sports seasons, maximizing television coverage at moments when global attention could be shaped rather than fracturing scrutiny.


These actions, taken together, exhibit a rhythm. When markets thin, newsrooms are short-staffed, or the public is absorbed in ritual celebration, governments wield power with fewer friction points in the immediate aftermath, even though accountability eventually follows.


That rhythm has not disappeared in the 21st century. In fact, it is visible in the latest seasonal cycle. On Christmas Day 2025, U.S. Africa Command (AFRICOM) carried out a series of strikes in northwest Nigeria, targeting militants linked with Islamic State affiliates in Sokoto State. These strikes — described as coordinated with the Nigerian government against violent extremists — occurred within the holiday window and became part of a broader pattern in which military actions are announced or intensified when international attention is divided between year-end celebrations and holiday season media lulls.


Taken together, these episodes are not random flukes. They represent how the projection of force has frequently intersected with times when public scrutiny is thinnest and political attention is diffused. Whether in the late autumn of congressional and campaign cycles or in the winter holidays, the timing of significant military actions consistently converges with cultural moments when domestic attention is naturally divided.


But the pattern of using timing strategically isn’t limited to bombs and special forces missions. It also manifests in how economic shocks unfold and are managed, which, though not military in the kinetic sense, are deeply linked to national power and global influence.


September stands out in American strategic and economic history as a pressure point where accumulated stress within the system is exposed rather than managed. Fiscal calendars close out their third quarter; pension and investment reckoning reaches its administrative deadlines; political attention heats in the run-up to elections. It was in this window that the shock of September 11, 2001 occurred — a day that, for many Americans, marked a historic trauma and a turning point in foreign policy. But recomposing that moment globally reveals something else: September 11 coincided with Ethiopian and Eritrean New Year, a major religious and cultural holiday in parts of East Africa, illustrating how the same date occupies profoundly different social spaces around the world. On that day, U.S. financial markets shut down entirely; when they reopened days later, they suffered historic losses, accelerating a recession that was already under way earlier that year.


Then, in mid-September 2008, the fragile financial edifice built up during the early 2000s finally collapsed with the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers — the largest in U.S. history — triggering a global economic crisis. Credit markets froze, banks curtailed lending, and emergency authorities were invoked almost overnight. Government and central bank interventions poured trillions into rescue mechanisms, permanently altering regulatory and financial structures. This crisis did not erupt in isolation; the public was collectively caught in multiple overlapping news cycles, including political wrangling over debt ceilings and fiscal policy, diluting attention even as economic reality snapped into view.


These September shock waves, like the holiday-timed military interventions, reflect how systemic stress often reaches a tipping point in moments of cultural or institutional distraction.


What unites these patterns — military operations launched during holiday or high-attention events, and economic ruptures disclosed during fiscal inflection points — is that power is exercised most expansively when attention is most diffuse. Distraction and division are not conspiratorial secrets put into effect behind closed doors, but emergent effects of how societies distribute attention through media cycles, political calendars, and cultural rhythms. Those who wield institutional authority understand this landscape — whether consciously or simply as a structural reality — and operate within it to set conditions that become harder to reverse once they unfold.


Viewed sequentially — from Panama’s invasion just before Christmas in 1989, through repeated year-end bombings and operations, to the Nigeria strikes over Christmas 2025, and the September economic ruptures of 2001 and 2008 — a pattern emerges: moments of collective distraction, ritual, or routine provide the soft terrain in which decisive acts of power are most effectively deployed and least immediately contested.


This is not to suggest that timing equals motive, or distraction equals deception. It is not evidence of a global puppeteer pulling invisible strings. Rather, it reveals how institutional behavior aligns with temporal rhythms — how states act when structural conditions are most favorable, and how public attention cycles intersect with decisions that have far-reaching consequences.


As history continues, observers should watch not just what actions are taken, but when they are taken — because the when often reveals the context, constraints, and mechanisms of power more clearly than the what.



 
 
 

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